Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.038276 0.041641 0.045030 0.048693 0.052534 0.056438 0.060697
2025-10-26 0.033178 0.038175 0.043375 0.049164 0.055408 0.061916 0.069190
2025-11-02 0.027700 0.033676 0.040091 0.047434 0.055552 0.064205 0.074073
2025-11-09 0.024091 0.030816 0.038242 0.046949 0.056782 0.067456 0.079829
2025-11-16 0.021260 0.028541 0.036794 0.046686 0.058068 0.070618 0.085369
2025-11-23 0.019833 0.027736 0.036895 0.048067 0.061114 0.075678 0.092976
2025-11-30 0.018467 0.026867 0.036808 0.049133 0.063723 0.080188 0.099929
2025-12-07 0.017080 0.025848 0.036439 0.049781 0.065777 0.084014 0.106067
2025-12-14 0.015594 0.024586 0.035678 0.049873 0.067107 0.086951 0.111145
2025-12-21 0.014775 0.024115 0.035841 0.051043 0.069684 0.091320 0.117867
2025-12-28 0.013181 0.022506 0.034478 0.050253 0.069838 0.092789 0.121171
2026-01-04 0.012177 0.021621 0.033983 0.050492 0.071201 0.095659 0.126095
2026-01-11 0.011389 0.021010 0.033836 0.051186 0.073159 0.099295 0.132006
2026-01-18 0.010648 0.020414 0.033676 0.051842 0.075059 0.102866 0.137857
2026-01-25 0.009129 0.018568 0.031747 0.050134 0.073947 0.102749 0.139270
2026-02-01 0.008173 0.017491 0.030809 0.049671 0.074363 0.104462 0.142860
2026-02-08 0.007370 0.016585 0.030058 0.049417 0.075014 0.106441 0.146757
2026-02-15 0.007136 0.016575 0.030571 0.050856 0.077840 0.111113 0.153937
2026-02-22 0.006825 0.016412 0.030847 0.051964 0.080235 0.115252 0.160476
2026-03-01 0.006416 0.016054 0.030817 0.052637 0.082055 0.118673 0.166142
2026-03-08 0.005887 0.015446 0.030386 0.052733 0.083104 0.121120 0.170608
2026-03-15 0.005675 0.015380 0.030758 0.053944 0.085620 0.125414 0.177360
2026-03-22 0.004996 0.014409 0.029712 0.053126 0.085423 0.126266 0.179845